Send in the Robots
Friday, February 29th, 2008It’s bad enough a robot wants your job, now they want to kill you too.
In a keynote address to the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), Professor Noel Sharkey, from the University’s Department of Computer Science, will express his concerns that we are beginning to see the first steps towards an international robot arms race. He will warn that it may not be long before robots become a standard terrorist weapon to replace the suicide bomber.
Read the full article here. Just when they started to get really cute too. My nephew has a baby door over his stairway. It’s not for the kids; it’s to keep his robots from falling down the stairs.
It does make you wonder. Here is a Wired article about Israel putting their air defense system under AI control. It brings up a vision of the future where the robots keep fighting long after all the people are dead. There is a link there to a report about a glitch in a cannon killing nine soldiers during a shooting exercise. One thing is for certain, my computers are cranky enough I would never consider giving them a gun.
It always makes me laugh when the humans are running around in the Terminator series and the robots are shooting and missing. I doubt the real military robots will miss, or waste much ammo.
When DARPA sponsored their third Grand challenge, I was struck by the amazing progress made in just a few short years toward self driving cars. Here is a video. While I fantasized about a future where I could roam around the country in some self-driving, solar powered, motor home, it is obvious what this technology will mean for the future of the car bomb. It also makes you wonder about the first time you get pulled over and try to explain to the cop to send the ticket to GM or Microsoft or whoever. Although it’s easy to believe this form of travel could rapidly become far safer than human driving, it also could give a whole new meaning to the blue screen of death.
When I was in high school, I worked at a local hospital hauling trays of food around to the patients. It looks like the robots have taken over that position.
“A lot of people that we needed 20 years ago are no longer needed,” says Dr. Wen. “However, [the personal computer] has spawned another huge industry – and I see robots doing exactly the same thing.”
It’s odd the personal computer revolution seemed to increase the productivity of just about every institution with the exception of the U.S. government. Maybe he is right, maybe more jobs will be created but maybe not, as robots will build robots. As they become more capable, it will be the most skilled workforce which will be displaced. No one will risk having a human surgeon or airline pilot, once a machine can do the job more reliably. The personal computer revolution did create a lot of jobs but it also created a situation where those jobs rapidly shifted to places like India where labor costs are very low. The jobs stopped there (momentarily), until they can be shifted further down to intelligent machines when it is cost effective.
Ray Kurzweil estimates the point where machines will be smarter than humans at a mere 21 years away. There is a point defined as the Technological Singularity where the instant a machine is smarter than a human it will be able to instantly evolve or create a smarter machine.
Let an ultraintelligent machine be defined as a machine that can far surpass all the intellectual activities of any man however clever. Since the design of machines is one of these intellectual activities, an ultraintelligent machine could design even better machines; there would then unquestionably be an ‘intelligence explosion,’ and the intelligence of man would be left far behind. Thus the first ultraintelligent machine is the last invention that man need ever make
I would make the point, it is not necessary for a machine to reach the level what we call human intelligence for this to happen. It is only necessary for a machine to surpass human intelligence in the narrow field of machine design. Already there are many products designed using evolutionary software. Here is a quote from an article about software at NASA used to design an antenna.
Four NASA Ames computer scientists wrote the AI evolutionary program that operates on 120 personal computers, which work as a team. The scientists wrote the AI software because it can create designs faster than a human being can do so.
“The software also may invent designs that no human designer would ever think of,” Lohn asserted.
Already we have systems that no ‘human designer would think of’. And why, because no human could understand it!


